FORECAST VERIFICATION
Rapid City, South Dakota Forecast Accuracy
See how Weatherkind forecasts for Rapid City, South Dakota compare with real observations from nearby weather stations.
Rapid City forecast verification record
Broader verification scope: All locations. These results are not specific to this city. Results cover the last 30 days.
| Forecast | Typical error | Bias | Comparisons |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 hours ahead: temperature | 1.8°F | 0.1°F | 43467 |
| 1 hours ahead: temperature | 2.1°F | 0.1°F | 43029 |
| 2 hours ahead: temperature | 2.0°F | 0.0°F | 42404 |
| 3 hours ahead: temperature | 1.9°F | 0.0°F | 42545 |
| 4 hours ahead: temperature | 1.8°F | 0.0°F | 23550 |
| 5 hours ahead: temperature | 1.8°F | 0.0°F | 23812 |
| 6 hours ahead: temperature | 1.9°F | 0.0°F | 41485 |
| 12 hours ahead: temperature | 2.0°F | 0.0°F | 41318 |
| 24 hours ahead: temperature | 2.1°F | -0.2°F | 39432 |
| 1 day ahead: high | 2.1°F | -0.9°F | 8999 |
| 1 day ahead: low | 2.0°F | 0.7°F | 8999 |
| 2 days ahead: high | 2.5°F | -1.0°F | 8516 |
| 2 days ahead: low | 2.3°F | 0.9°F | 8516 |
| 3 days ahead: high | 2.9°F | -1.2°F | 8096 |
| 3 days ahead: low | 2.6°F | 0.9°F | 8096 |
| 4 days ahead: high | 3.3°F | -1.0°F | 7491 |
| 4 days ahead: low | 2.8°F | 0.7°F | 7491 |
| 5 days ahead: high | 3.7°F | -0.7°F | 7252 |
| 5 days ahead: low | 3.4°F | 1.0°F | 7252 |
| 6 days ahead: high | 4.4°F | -0.9°F | 6182 |
| 6 days ahead: low | 3.6°F | 1.0°F | 6182 |
| 7 days ahead: high | 5.1°F | -0.9°F | 5261 |
| 7 days ahead: low | 4.2°F | 1.5°F | 5261 |
| 8 days ahead: high | 5.7°F | -2.5°F | 4334 |
| 8 days ahead: low | 4.3°F | 1.4°F | 4334 |
| 9 days ahead: high | 5.8°F | -2.5°F | 4581 |
| 9 days ahead: low | 4.5°F | 1.3°F | 4581 |
| 10 days ahead: high | 5.5°F | -1.9°F | 5109 |
| 10 days ahead: low | 4.6°F | 1.2°F | 5109 |
| 11 days ahead: high | 6.1°F | -1.4°F | 5346 |
| 11 days ahead: low | 5.1°F | 1.2°F | 5346 |
| 12 days ahead: high | 6.6°F | -1.5°F | 5851 |
| 12 days ahead: low | 5.5°F | 1.0°F | 5851 |
| 13 days ahead: high | 6.6°F | -1.7°F | 6186 |
| 13 days ahead: low | 5.9°F | 0.5°F | 6186 |
| 14 days ahead: high | 6.8°F | -2.0°F | 6474 |
| 14 days ahead: low | 6.2°F | -0.4°F | 6474 |
Lower typical error is better. Positive bias means forecasts ran warmer than observations; negative bias means cooler.